Nothing is still good in afghanistan

The bundestag decides on the new afghanistan mission and the government submits a progress report "progress report" the situation is gloomy

Today, the bundestag will decide on the one-year deployment of the german armed forces as part of the nato mission in afghanistan "resolute support mission" for training, advising and supporting the afghan national security forces in afghanistan. The approval of the further deployment of up to 850 german soldiers to help the afghan security forces in their mission to afghanistan has not been mentioned "security responsibility" can be amed to be a combat mission. The mission, the additional cost of which is estimated at 282 million euros, is not limited to training and advising, but also includes military security.

Nato currently seems to have taken a liking to words that are supposed to signal determination. The "resolute support" in this respect joins the anti-is coalition’s operation inherent resolve. It is emphasized that this is not a combat mission: "nevertheless, there may be combat operations in exercise of the right of self-defense, to protect one’s own troops or designated civilian forces." this is also foreseeable in view of the further deterioration of the situation in afghanistan. This is precisely the reason why nato soldiers should remain in the country even after 13 years. Afghanistan needs further "the support of the international community", to, as it says, "to consolidate the successes of the past decade in creating effective security structures".

Nothing is still good in afghanistan

Image: isaf

Among the successes of the decades-long war effort, the federal government has also "progress report" published. In this it says: today there is "a democratic polity, functioning in its infancy, with a majority of its citizens believing in its future and effectively defended by its security forces". It then paints a rather bleak picture, partly related to the withdrawal of nato troops, which is making an already dire economic situation even worse, while the national debt is exploding. The consequences will further aggravate the security situation and possibly create iraq-like conditions:

Afghanistan’s economic situation poses a particularly pressing challenge for the new government. Annual growth in gross domestic product (gdp) is now only about three percent, a sharp slowdown. Closely linked to the economic crisis is the widening budget crisis. Government revenues have plummeted in recent months. The new government will have to make painful cuts in the coming months. The prolonged political focus solely on the elections and their consequences has further aggravated the already existing reform backlog.

A great deal of money must continue to be paid in order to prevent the government system, which has been painstakingly maintained and is riddled with corruption, from collapsing. Germany alone will pump 430 million euros a year into the country, which is in addition to the 280 million for military support.

With the other military operations, for example in the kurdish regions, the refugee crisis, especially in and around syria, but also the money that has to flee to the bankrupt ukraine, the question of how resolutely or how much money is being used to support the muslim community has become more and more important. How long afghanistan will be trimmed, i.E. How long germany will be defended at the hindu kush, if, in addition, the security situation there is getting even worse. This must be true even in the "progress report" can be described in this way: "the security situation has not changed significantly compared to the last progress report. However, the anti-government forces (rfk) succeeded in increasing their ability to act, especially in the rural, primarily pashtun, traditional core areas."

A gallup poll confirms the image of a military operation in a mess, which at best protects the country by artificial respiration from a complete transition into a failed state, while otherwise threatening the return of a regime similar to the one before the war. Already in 2013, afghanistan had slipped to last place worldwide in the gallup world poll. The question is how people rate their lives and their prospects for the next four years on a scale of 0 to 10. Those who have rated themselves 4 or less on the scale are considered to be suffering, then come "struggling" (medium), meaning unsecured well-being, and finally those who are doing well (thriving).

The survey is interesting because the values have been determined since 2008. In that year, 5 percent still rated their life satisfaction as good. Apparently, prospects were good; by 2010, the proportion of people of good life satisfaction and good further prospects had risen to 12 percent, while those doing poorly shrank to a proportion of 23 percent. Since 2011, however, the trend has reversed and afghans have rated their lives as increasingly bad. In 2013, as in 2014, there were no more people who considered their situation to be good, while the number of those who were doing poorly was 55 percent in 2013 and as high as 61 percent in 2014. There is hardly any difference between younger and older people. Normally hope is high among young people, in afghanistan it seems that most young people do not see a future either.

This makes the situation look anything but good; instead of success, one had to speak of a growing failure. People in rural areas, three-quarters of the population, fare particularly badly. Here, 64 percent rate their life satisfaction as a 4 or less on the scale, compared with 32 percent in the cities "only" 49 percent. In rural areas, 44 percent of afghans say there were times in the past year when they did not have enough to eat, compared to 32 percent in urban areas. In eastern afghanistan, people seem to be doing better than in the west. Gallup suspects that this could also be due to the fact that opium cultivation and consumption are predominant in the west and south. Here, too, the fear of what could occur after the withdrawal of nato troops could be grosser.

67 percent say economic conditions in their region have deteriorated. And 86 percent think they are disenchanted with the way the poor are treated, up from 32 percent in 2008. All in all, a warning that much has been going wrong for a long time, and nato countries that want to withdraw are painting a benign picture to avoid admitting their failure.

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